01Daily · Monday–Friday · 6:00 AM ET
The PM Pulse
Every important development in prediction markets in five minutes or less.
85Issues
- Robinhood and Polymarket US sue Missouri, Missouri files counterclaims against Novig, and Polymarket US and Crypto.com’s OG.com sue Arkansas
- A federal judge fast-tracks the CFTC’s bid to halt Utah’s case against Kalshi, 37 states back New York against Kalshi, and Polymarket US raises fees for smaller traders
- The CFTC tells exchanges to stop geofencing states, a federal judge bars Kalshi sports contracts on two California tribes’ lands, and Kalshi launches single-stock perps
- The Ninth Circuit denies Kalshi rehearing in its Nevada case, Arkansas sues Kalshi, and the Seventh Circuit consolidates the Illinois appeals
- The Second Circuit denies Kalshi and Coinbase injunctions, a judge says the challenge to single-stock perps is likely to succeed, and STX wins its exchange designation
- New York’s attorney general targets Kalshi’s influencer marketing, Senate Democrats question X over Polymarket ads, and Sporttrade wins CFTC exchange approval
- The CFTC and DOJ ask a judge to halt Utah’s criminal case against Kalshi, an Illinois injunction takes effect, and the 76ers name Kalshi the first NBA team prediction market partner
- Kalshi raises $1 billion at a $40 billion valuation, a breach halts Polymarket DeFi trading, and Coinbase prediction markets top $200 million in annualized revenue
- Utah files criminal charges against Kalshi and its founders, 37 states back Utah in the Tenth Circuit, and Kalshi sues Missouri
- CFTC and OG.com sue Utah, Robinhood’s prediction market revenue hits $173 million in Q3, and Mansour says Kalshi operates “a market, not a casino” in the WSJ
- NBA names preferred prediction market exchanges, Nasdaq applies for a CFTC exchange, and New York pushes back on CFTC swap rules
- New York moves to enforce Kalshi subpoenas, Kalshi sues Louisiana, and CNN tallies $1.4 billion in midterm trading
- CFTC micro-contract pushback, Hegseth memo on Polymarket and Kalshi, and Polymarket CMO exit
- Ohio tells licensees to cut prediction market ties, Kalshi files college admissions contracts, and High Roller launches ROLR
- Utah sues Kalshi and Susquehanna, Bloomberg on Polymarket’s investors and Coplan, and an LA bar group hedges the Dodgers on Kalshi
- Polymarket DeFi adds geopolitics combos, DKeX doubles its combo maker fee, and students rally to repeal the onion futures ban
- Crypto.com and Novig sue Missouri, the CFTC registers Sporttrade’s clearinghouse, and the NBA bars sportsbook partners from some player props
- Taiwan blocks Kalshi and Coinbase, Polymarket US seeks injunction against New York, and Crypto.com launches Predict Pro
- Underdog sues Tennessee, Kalshi adds anti-harassment rule, and Kalshi and DraftKings' DKeX add injury-protected player props
- Kalshi tells Hawaii it has 100,000 users there, FTC begins sportsbook review, and Roobet-linked Roopicks wins CFTC broker registration
- Polymarket US tiers its rebates, analysts weigh the NFL's Supreme Court push, and most Americans oppose election betting in Reuters/Ipsos poll
- CFTC moves to define event contracts as swaps, Kalshi seeks Sixth Circuit rehearing, and Kalshi probes press secretary bets
- NFL, tribes and AGA urge Supreme Court to take Kalshi case, Seminole Tribe sues DraftKings, and GAO to review CFTC staff cuts
- 39 states urge Supreme Court to take Kalshi case, four tribes launch Kalshi-powered apps, and Liquid and Share expand prediction trading
- Kalshi launches US500 perp, Coinbase adds 15-min and hourly crypto markets, and Edge Markets builds after-hours margin call tool
- Ohio orders 10 prediction markets to stop sports contracts, five prediction market firms weigh in on CFTC market maker rule, and BofA upgrades DraftKings
- Illinois federal judge sides with Kalshi, gaming regulators urge SCOTUS to take NJ v. Kalshi, and WSJ profiles Gen-Z traders
- ARK puts Kalshi in three ETFs, Coinbase Ventures backs Raven, and Rothera passes 5 billion contracts
- Novig raising at up to $2B, CBS News brings in Kalshi, and Polymarket adds deposit limits and self-exclusion
- CFTC sends rules redefining "swap" to the White House, Kalshi nears a $1 billion raise at a $40B valuation, and Polymarket hires Goldman partner Lisa Mantil
- Polymarket US launches 15-minute crypto markets, CFTC registers Coinbase's clearinghouse, and Kalshi's weather markets beat public forecasts
- Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi, Citadel weighs in on CFTC's market maker rule, and ProPublica tests DraftKings' safeguards
- New York sues Polymarket, Liga MX v. Kalshi, and Public × Kalshi AI agents
- Kalshi’s NJ SCOTUS extension, DKeX combo rebates, and Kevin Costner’s Ranch Retreat
- CFTC mention markets advisory, Kalshi margin filing, and volume scrutiny
- Polymarket football fee holiday, Kalshi volume drama, and Ireland hub
- Missouri sports C&Ds, Tunica-Biloxi × Kalshi, and Polymarket Midterms Hub
- CFTC Letter for passive software front ends, Polymarket DeFi waives football fees this weekend, and Genius Sports launches Prediction.com
- Ninth Circuit tribal IGRA ruling on Kalshi, Ways & Means wagering-loss fix, and LeBron–Polymarket at $15M a year
- SCOTUS dockets Robinhood and Crypto.com, Novig crosses $1B after CFTC launch, and Polymarket and Kalshi top Week 1 downloads
- Arizona moves to vacate the sports PI, Polymarket US hits all-time highs, and Kalshi Launches gold and silver perps
- CFTC v. New York, FanDuel confirmed market making on Kalshi, and Crypto.com joins Robinhood at SCOTUS
- Connecticut hits nine platforms with C&Ds, Polymarket names its first CFO, and ProphetX goes onchain via Solana
- Novig goes viral with Sydney Sweeney, Robinhood seeks SCOTUS review, and Kalshi files for en banc
- Robinhood partners with OG.com, Underdog sues five states, and Polymarket’s athlete wave
- Coinbase’s Kalshi Michigan vs. WMU fallout, DraftKings targets Kalshi in new ad, and Risk of Ruin with Zvi Mowshowitz
- LeBron partners with Polymarket, Polymarket US Saturday outage, and ProphetX self-certified political contracts
- NFL letter to DCMs, NBA deal terms on the table, and Polymarket Perps
- First Supreme Court petition on sports event contracts, Michigan’s Kalshi injunction, and DraftKings Predictions fees
- Kalshi’s CEO on the Ninth Circuit, letters to Washington and Michigan, and Rothera Picks Stats Perform
- Kalshi posts five enforcement cases, 1789 leads a $21 billion Polymarket round, and a Ninth Circuit follow-up
- Ninth Circuit affirms Nevada, US Open exclusive with Kalshi, and CFTC teleprompter settlement
- Trump Jr. pressed Republican AGs, Novig drops American odds, and the NFL leaves PMs out of sportsbook deals
- Connecticut sues Kalshi, BetMGM adds prediction market features, and Peabody and ETR pull public numbers
- Kalshi signs five MLB teams, DraftKings ads in non-sportsbook states, and Kalshi's SEC letter on Cboe
- Gemini and Apex, Dodgers and Braves add Kalshi, and EntropyIO
- Nevada cites North Carolina’s tax, Polymarket’s DOJ referrals, and Imawhale’s $2 billion
- Selig’s IAC meeting, Kalshi’s Washington restriction, and a 2M market calibration study
- Selig at the White House, Cantor Fitzgerald Block Trading, House Wildfire Ban
- Kalshi US500 and Copper Perps, Wallach’s 2027 SCOTUS Path, Harvard Surveillance Note
- Kalshi Second Circuit Filing, Polymarket U.S. Parlays, Kalshi Commodity Markets
- Nevada Geofencing, ProphetX Fall Roadmap, Gemini Prediction Markets Growth
- Mention Markets Under CFTC Review, Underdog Faces Aristotle Suit, Castle’s $500K Goat-Herder Hedge
- Kalshi & Polymarket Hires, Fliff & Onyx FCM Filings, Novig Interviews a Sharp Taker
- CFTC Emergency Order, River Markets Fundraising, Kalshi CEO Interview
- Kalshi × Nasdaq, ProphetX × Pikkit, FlightAware sues Kalshi
- CFTC American-Style Odds Warning, Novig Expands State Suits, NY Remand Motion
- DraftKings Q2 Results, Polymarket × Yankees, Sports Traders Union
- Flutter Earnings Update, Utah Appeal, Novig Sues New York
- Utah Summary Judgment, Novig Live Nationwide, and Polymarket’s $20B Talks
- NY Case Assigned to Torres, Kalshi 15-Minute Gold & Silver, and Polymarket ATP
- NY–Kalshi Escalation, DraftKings Faces Class Action, and CFTC Enforcement
- New York Sues Kalshi, CFTC Market-Making Rules, and IG Buys Underdog
- NY Path Opens for Enforcement, CFTC Loses in Wisconsin, Robinhood PM Revenue Tops Crypto
- CFTC Comment Flood, ProphetX Raise, and Underdog’s Fast Start
- Minnesota Injunction, Fanatics Exchange Deal, and Kalshi’s SDNY Setback
- Netflix Documentary, Nevada Settlement, and Kalshi’s New York Appeal
- ProphetX Expansion, H.R. 9706, and Advertising Scrutiny
- Kalshi Midterms Hub, CME-FanDuel Strain, and CFR Discussion
- Kalshi Metals Perps Filing, Congressional Hearing on Sports Contracts, and Wisconsin Election Warning
- Washington Injunction, Kalshi-Polymarket Rivalry, and Polymarket Perps Launch
- Underdog Launches Its Own Exchange, World Cup Volume Surge, and More Regulatory Scrutiny
- Insider Trading Probe, Kalshi’s Biotech Push, and Institutional Expansion
- Regulatory Moves, AI Edges, and Market Infrastructure
- Kalshi’s GPU Forward Curves, CFTC Action, OpenAI Partnership & More
