The PM Pulse 071
Three takeaways stood out from Aaron Courtney (@probaaron)’s analysis of every trade in Kalshi’s “Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?” market, which settled to Katie Zacharia on Friday (10/9) (Pulse 064, which covered Kalshi’s investigation into suspicious trades on her pick):
- Yes buyers paid $502,511 for names that settled at zero, led by Scott Jennings ($171,486) and Maria Bartiromo ($129,674).
- Zacharia drew $200,004 of Yes buying, but only $1,611 of it came before the news – 11 orders, the largest $483.
- The median order was $5.70, while orders of $1,000 or more – 1.4% of the total, or about 1 in 69 – paid 53% of the dollars.
Source: Aaron Courtney
Read the full issue: The PM Pulse 071 →
